| op-ed | |||
| Christian Grantham was a student activist in the late 90s and later was a consultant to domestic policy forums for the Clinton Administration as well as events for HRC and GLAAD. | |||
|
|
|
||
latest posts
Predictions
November 01, 2004
The lines are forming, and 20% of American voters have already voted in early voting. In the last two days, the latest polling momentum has trended toward Kerry. Tomorrow is the day America decides who will lead our country.
Turnout: 115,000,000
Bush: 48%
Kerry: 51%
Voters could number 118 million to 121 million, a big jump from the 106 million who voted in 2000, predicts Curtis Gans, director of the Committee for the Study of the American Electorate. Just reaching the 118 million mark would match the intensity of the last big upswing, in 1992, when 58% of eligible voters turned out. Hitting the high end of Gans's estimate would approach the record '60s era when battles over civil rights and the Vietnam War drew a horde of new voters.
[Will All Those New Voters Show Up? - Business Week - 11-08-04]
filed under: Polls